{"id":4319,"date":"2026-07-02T07:38:45","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T07:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/genesisarmenia.am\/?p=4319"},"modified":"2026-07-02T12:50:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T12:50:47","slug":"what-game-is-turkey-playing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/genesisarmenia.am\/en\/what-game-is-turkey-playing\/","title":{"rendered":"What game is Turkey playing?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>he previous part of the research series can be read at the following link:<a href=\"https:\/\/genesisarmenia.am\/en\/an-ally-of-the-west-or-hamass-political-patron-turkeys-double-game\/\">\u00a0An Ally of the West or Hamas\u2019s Political Patron: Turkey\u2019s Double Game<\/a>\u2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Is Turkey considered a reliable ally within NATO?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Today, many politicians and analysts are attempting to address this important question.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite a number of contradictions with NATO, President Erdo\u011fan, speaking about the alliance\u2019s prospects, has stated that the NATO summit scheduled for July 7\u20138, 2026 in Ankara could become one of the most significant events in the alliance\u2019s history, and an opportunity for a systemic reset of strained US\u2013NATO relations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Turkey remains formally a trusted NATO member, yet in practice its positions have often been a source of criticism and concern among alliance members.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Officially, Turkey has been a NATO member since 1952. It participates in military cooperation programs, joint drills, and supports NATO\u2019s defense systems. From this perspective, it is considered a reliable member, as it has not committed serious violations of its legal obligations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, in pursuit of its own interests, Turkey seeks to maintain a balance between NATO and Russia, who are at war on Ukrainian territory. And it must be said that, so far, Ankara has largely succeeded in sustaining this balancing policy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Recently, tensions between Turkey and US ally Israel have visibly escalated, though for now I do not believe they will develop into a full confrontation. Israel is attempting to extend its influence into parts of the Middle East where Turkey holds significant sway, including the South Caucasus. Interestingly, Israel is seeking to do so through Azerbaijan. This process is still in its early stages, and its continuation will depend in part on the unresolved war in Iran and new geopolitical realignments in the region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although Turkey has long been concerned about Iran\u2019s nuclear and ballistic missile programs and, of course, did not want Iran to become stronger, it is also worried that Iran\u2019s potential fragmentation would create unprecedented instability in the region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If Iran were to emerge from this war strengthened militarily and politically, Turkey\u2019s role would undergo significant change\u2014largely in the direction of redefinition.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For NATO, many regional problems are difficult to solve without Turkey. Taking advantage of its geographic position, Turkey seeks to position itself as a country that can engage with all regional actors, especially in times of crisis. At the same time, one of Turkey\u2019s goals is to become the leader of the Sunni Muslim world. However, a strong Iran would clearly serve as a counterweight to Turkey\u0589<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to some extent, Turkey\u2019s regional controlling role would diminish<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">its influence through Azerbaijan would be limited<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russia may contribute to the strengthening of Iran in the Middle East against NATO<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Turkey is doing everything it can to stay out of the war against Iran, carefully maintaining its neutrality. Generations of Turkish politicians regard Ankara\u2019s high-stakes balancing act during World War II as one of the golden chapters of Turkish diplomacy. At that time, Turkey\u2019s leaders were deeply aware of the young republic\u2019s geopolitical isolation and military vulnerability, and were determined not to repeat the mistakes of their Ottoman predecessors, who chose the wrong side in World War I.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Western criticism today is largely interpreted in terms of warning and deterrence, while Turkey\u2019s position is a calculated strategy designed to ensure maximum flexibility.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Turkey may create certain challenges for NATO and the West, but it will never move into open confrontation. Ankara is an \u201cindispensable\u201d yet, to some extent, \u201cunruly\u201d partner for NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this situation, one axiom stands out: Armenia needs a fully developed foreign policy concept that includes a Middle Eastern strategy, actively expanding political, economic, and other ties with the region.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Erdo\u011fan, speaking about the alliance\u2019s prospects, has stated that the NATO summit scheduled for July 7\u20138, 2026 in Ankara could become one of the most significant events in the alliance\u2019s history<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":4320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What game is Turkey playing? 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